Achieve Investment Group

Multifamily Real Estate Investments: Opportunities, Risks, and Strategic Insights for 2025 and Beyond

Multifamily Real Estate Investments

While much has been made of the negative headlines surrounding commercial real estate over the past two years, multifamily investments are poised to rebound in 2025 and beyond. After weathering an influx of new properties across the country and a difficult financing environment, apartments are now filling at a record pace as supply and demand come back into balance. Read More

Fed holds rates steady and awaits inflation progress

Fed holds rates steady and awaits inflation progress

The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate in check Wednesday, reversing a recent trend of easing policy as it examines what is likely to be a bumpy political and economic landscape ahead. In a widely anticipated move, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee left unchanged its overnight borrowing rate in a range between 4.25%-4.5%. The decision followed three straight cuts since September 2024 worth a full percentage point and marked the first Fed meeting since frequent Fed critic Donald Trump assumed the presidency last week and almost immediately made known his intentions that he wants the central bank to cut rates. The post-meeting statement dropped a few clues about the reasoning behind the decision to hold rates steady. It offered a somewhat more optimistic view on the labor market while losing a key reference from the December statement that inflation “has made progress toward” the Fed’s 2% inflation goal. Read More

Austin’s economic growth slowed but remained strong

Austin's economic growth slowed but remained strong

Even a cooling Austin economy is plenty warm. That’s the upshot of a new report pegging recent economic growth in the city at its lowest point in nearly three years. Despite the notable slowdown, business activity in Austin is still expanding at a “healthy pace” and remains slightly above its long-term average, according to the report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. “You’d expect, after having very strong growth, that eventually you will see some deceleration” in Austin, Dallas Fed economist Christopher Slijk said. “So this isn’t really an indication of a downturn. All the signs continue to point toward a healthy economy.” The Dallas Fed’s main barometer for Austin, called the Austin business-cycle index, increased at an annualized pace of 6.3% in October — its lowest level since December 2016. The index’s long-term average growth rate is 6.2%, but it climbed 6.9% and 7.2%, respectively, in 2017 and 2018, and it topped 7.5% on an annualized basis in February this year. Read More

Strong Q4 GDP growth contrasts with Fed’s pause on rate cuts

Strong Q4 GDP growth contrasts with Fed's pause on rate cuts

The economy slowed late last year but still turned in a solid performance as another burst of consumer spending was offset by a drop in business investment and stockpiling. The nation’s gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., expanded at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.3% in the October-to-December period, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. That’s down from a 3.1% increase in the third quarter and an average 2.6% pace in the first nine months of the year. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast a 2.6% increase in output. Read More

U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook 2025 – Multifamily

U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook 2025

With continued solid fundamentals, multifamily is the most preferred asset class for commercial real estate investors in 2025. For all the short-term negative effects brought on by rising interest rates and record levels of new supply, strong renter demand will drive improving occupancy and accelerating rent growth. This in turn will lead to increased multifamily investment activity. The average multifamily vacancy rate is expected to end 2025 at 4.9% and average annual rent growth at 2.6%. Developers will add more multifamily units to the U.S. housing market than in any period since the 1970s. Most of this new supply will be in the Sun Belt and Mountain regions, where some markets will grow their inventories by nearly 20% in just three years. However, many of these high-supply markets are now past their peak for deliveries, and occupancy rates have already begun recovering. This recovery will accelerate next year and markets with negative rent growth in 2024 are expected to turn positive in 2025 as completions slow considerably following the marked slowdown in construction starts. Read More

Q3 2024 Real Estate Market Cycle Insights: What’s Ahead for Investors?

Q3 2024 Real Estate Market Cycle Insights

Hi there, I’m excited to share the latest insights from Glenn Mueller’s Real Estate Market Cycle Monitor for the third quarter of 2024. This report dives deep into the state of five major property types across 54 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the U.S., revealing how shifts in GDP, employment, and interest rates are impacting the real estate landscape. Core Insights: National Property Type Cycle Locations Mueller’s analysis shows where different property types (Office, Industrial, Apartment, Retail, and Hotel) currently stand in their respective cycles. Office Market Occupancy: Decreased by 0.2% this quarter and 0.6% year-over-year. Trends: Despite new completions, demand growth has slowed, and remote work is still impacting long-term occupancy. Industrial Market Occupancy: Down 0.3% this quarter and 1.4% year-over-year. Growth: New leasing is picking up, driven by companies like Amazon, but increased supply has led to a cyclical shift. Apartment Market Occupancy: Declined 0.1% in Q3, down 0.4% year-over-year. Supply: Expected to hit a 20-year high, with over 500,000 new units in 2024, particularly affecting the South and West markets. Retail Market Occupancy: Remained flat and close to historical peak levels. Trends: Strong retail sales and limited new supply have contributed to sustained demand, especially in retail strip centers. Hotel Market Occupancy: Down 0.2% in Q3, showing bifurcated demand with luxury and conference hotels performing better than economy-class hotels. RevPAR: Increased 0.4% for the quarter and 1.4% year-over-year. Chart: National Property Type Cycle Locations Apartment Market Cycle Analysis The apartment sector is facing unique challenges and opportunities as it navigates increasing supply and fluctuating demand. With over 500,000 new units expected by year-end, occupancy and rent trends vary widely by region. Mueller’s insights highlight current cycle positions and key influences in the apartment market. Chart: Apartment Market Cycle Analysis Credit: This information is sourced from the Real Estate Market Cycle Monitor – Third Quarter 2024 by Glenn Mueller, Professor Emeritus at Denver University and Director of Sharing Connexion.

US Election Outcome and Commercial Real Estate

US Election Outcome and Commercial Real Estate

Hi there, Congratulations, America! This election highlighted the resilience of our democracy and the strength of peaceful transitions. As we look ahead, it’s an opportune moment to reflect on how recent political shifts may shape the commercial real estate landscape. Key Trends and Insights: Housing Regulations With leadership changes, fewer federal regulations on housing could be on the horizon. Policies from the COVID era, such as extended eviction notice periods, may be scaled back, potentially reducing delinquencies and improving payment reliability. While national rent control remains unlikely, local governments will continue lowering developer barriers, encouraging the expansion of the housing supply. The 1031 exchange laws remain unchanged, ensuring continued tax deferment options. 10-Year Treasury Yields The 10-year Treasury recently rose by 70-80 basis points, reflecting a market adjusting to anticipated policy stability. This trajectory hints at potential stabilization or a slight decline, aided by SOFR rate cuts targeting inflation control. Opportunity Zones: A Fresh Start Opportunity Zones are expected to gain renewed emphasis. They offer a pathway to foster development in underserved areas. These zones could see greater capital infusion with potential federal support, helping bridge critical supply gaps. Revitalized Bonus Depreciation Bonus depreciation, a major catalyst for CRE investments, could see renewed momentum, providing attractive tax incentives that may fuel more investment across the commercial real estate sector. Rising Industrial Demand A proposed 15% corporate tax reduction for domestic manufacturers could positively impact the industrial real estate sector. Demand for facilities supporting local production is likely to surge, pushing up industrial land and property values. Multifamily Investment Rebound Multifamily investments are projected to rebound by mid-2025 through 2026, as new supply growth slows. Land acquisitions are ramping up, and construction lending conditions continue to improve, paving the way for long-term growth. These perspectives offer an overview of expected trends. As we enter this new chapter, it’s valuable to consider the sentiment and data-backed insights of industry leaders like Jay Parsons and Carl Whitaker. Agree or disagree? What trends do you think will shape the market?

Why Apartment Complexes are the Future of Real Estate Investment

investing in apartment complexes

Introduction In today’s ever-evolving real estate market, savvy investors constantly seek opportunities that promise solid returns and long-term growth potential. One such avenue that has gained significant traction in recent years is investing in apartment complexes. This article delves into why apartment complexes are emerging as the future of real estate investment. The Changing Landscape of Real Estate Investment Real estate investment has witnessed a seismic shift in recent times. Traditional single-family homes and commercial properties are no longer the only go-to options for investors. Apartment complexes have become increasingly popular for several compelling reasons. The Growing Demand for Rental Properties With changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, more people rent rather than own homes. Millennials and young professionals, in particular, are embracing the flexibility and convenience that renting offers—this growing demand for rental properties positions apartment complexes as a lucrative investment choice. Diversification of Risk Investors often seek diversification to mitigate risks associated with their portfolios. Investing in apartment complexes provides an opportunity to spread risk across multiple units, reducing the impact of vacancies or market fluctuations on overall returns. This diversification is especially valuable in uncertain economic times. Steady Cash Flow Apartment complexes generate a consistent stream of rental income. Unlike other real estate investments that may experience seasonal fluctuations, rental income from apartment complexes tends to be stable and predictable. This reliable cash flow attracts investors looking for a steady income stream. Economies of Scale Managing multiple rental units within a single complex allows for economies of scale. Maintenance, repairs, and management costs are often lower on a per-unit basis, enhancing the overall profitability of the investment. This cost-efficiency is a significant advantage of apartment complex ownership. Potential for Appreciation In addition to rental income, apartment complexes offer the potential for property appreciation over time. As the demand for rental properties continues to rise, the value of well-maintained apartment complexes can be appreciated significantly, providing investors with substantial long-term gains. Tax Benefits Investors in apartment complexes can benefit from various tax incentives, including deductions on mortgage interest, property depreciation, and maintenance expenses. These tax advantages can optimize the overall return on investment. Critical Considerations for Apartment Complex Investment While apartment complexes offer promising opportunities, it’s crucial to consider some critical factors before diving into this venture. Location Matters The location of an apartment complex plays a pivotal role in its success. Investing in a complex in a desirable neighborhood with solid rental demand can significantly impact your returns. Research potential locations carefully and analyze market trends. Property Management Effective property management is essential for maximizing returns and tenant satisfaction. Whether you manage the complex yourself or hire a professional property management company, a well-maintained property is crucial for success. Financial Planning A comprehensive financial plan is vital for estimating potential returns and managing expenses. When creating your investment strategy, factor in mortgage payments, property taxes, insurance, and ongoing maintenance costs. Market Research Stay updated with market trends and rental rates in your chosen location. Conduct thorough market research to ensure that your investment aligns with the current demand and pricing in the area. Tenant Screening Selecting reliable tenants is critical for maintaining a stable income stream and minimizing vacancies. Implement a rigorous tenant screening process to identify responsible renters likely to stay long-term. Risk Management Although apartment complexes offer diversification, there are still risks involved. Be prepared for occasional vacancies and market fluctuations by having contingency plans. FAQs Q: What is the minimum investment required for an apartment complex? Investment requirements vary depending on the complex’s location, size, and condition. Conducting a thorough financial analysis and securing financing if needed is essential. Q: Are there tax advantages to investing in apartment complexes? Yes, investors can benefit from tax deductions on mortgage interest, property depreciation, and maintenance expenses. Consult with a tax professional to maximize these advantages. Q: How can I ensure a high occupancy rate in my apartment complex? Maintaining a well-kept property, conducting effective marketing, and implementing a thorough tenant screening process are crucial to achieving a high occupancy rate. Q: What are some common challenges faced by apartment complex investors? Common challenges include managing tenant turnover, handling maintenance and repairs, and staying updated with changing market conditions. Q: Can I invest in apartment complexes with a limited budget? While larger complexes may require substantial investments, there are opportunities to invest in smaller complexes or partner with other investors to pool resources. Q: How can I optimize the ROI on my apartment complex investment? Focus on effective property management, keeping expenses in check, and staying attuned to market trends to maximize your return on investment. Conclusion Investing in apartment complexes offers a promising avenue for real estate investors seeking stable returns and long-term growth potential. With the rising demand for rental properties, the potential for appreciation, and various tax advantages, apartment complexes are indeed the future of real estate investment. However, conducting thorough research, considering key factors, and implementing sound management practices are essential to ensure a successful investment journey.

James Kandasamy’s Visit To $17 Billion Plant in Austin

James Kandasamy's

James Kandasamy here, Founder and CEO of Achieve Investment Group. So, guess where I’ve been? Taylor, Texas! I recently visited Samsung’s mammoth $17 billion factory, and let me tell you, it’s not just big; it’s MASSIVE! 🏭 Last year, we brought in an investment opportunity right across the street from this colossal location. And wow, did it take off! Investors jumped in so fast that it filled up in just two hours, and we were 3 times oversubscribed. This Samsung facility is a game-changer, literally transforming the landscape of this small city just north of Austin, Texas. But wait, there’s more to come! There are three more parcels earmarked for development, all with Samsung’s name on them. I even heard from my pals at Samsung that they’re moving more folks to Taylor, Texas, as part of their commitment to the city. They’re on a hiring spree, especially for engineers. Samsung recently asked for nine additional factories in Taylor. 🏗️ And you know what that means, right? Manufacturing plants are like the golden ticket for job opportunities. They pump cash into the market, creating tons of jobs, both directly and indirectly. That’s Real Estate 101, folks! Initially, I thought it would take 5-7 years for Taylor to hit the big leagues, but after my visit yesterday, I’m recalculating. I’d say we’re looking at more of a 3-5 year span now. Wanna get in on deals like this? visit our website at Achieve Investment Group to join our email list. Oh, and by the way, over 5,000 readers tune in to our newsletter every week! But here’s the kicker: If you’re curious about the full story behind this Samsung investment or want to dive deeper into deals like this, I’ve got a video you won’t want to miss. Hit play and let’s get you clued into the action! Watch Now National and State News Jerome Powell Signals Fed Will Extend Interest-Rate Pause Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the recent surge in long-term Treasury yields may enable the central bank to extend its pause on interest-rate increases, as long as progress on inflation remains on track. Powell’s comments align with those of his colleagues, who have signaled their intention to keep short-term interest rates steady at the next meeting. The rise in long-term rates, which has occurred over the past month, could effectively act as a substitute for further rate hikes if higher borrowing costs persist. The 10-year Treasury note yields approached 5%, marking a 16-year high and contributing to a decline in stock prices. Powell emphasized the impact of higher bond rates on financial conditions, which is the primary objective of raising interest rates.This increase in long-term interest rates has repercussions for various borrowing costs, from mortgages and auto loans to business debt, with mortgage lenders quoting rates near 8% on the 30-year fixed rate loan, a level last seen in 2000. While Powell did not explicitly declare an end to rate increases, he acknowledged recent declines in inflation and signs of a cooling labor market, signaling greater comfort with the Fed’s current policy stance. A strong economic outlook makes it challenging for the Fed to halt rate hikes entirely, and Powell refrained from making such a declaration. He noted that it could take a significant change in data to shift the Fed’s stance in that direction. Powell emphasized the word “could” rather than “would” when discussing the possibility of further tightening of monetary policy, indicating that stronger economic growth might warrant additional tightening. The challenge for Fed officials lies in their forecasting, as economic activity remains robust, but inflation has decreased. The question is whether strong consumer spending will continue to support hiring and economic demand or whether past rate hikes will slow the economy and decrease inflation, necessitating a decision on rate levels. Powell also mentioned that wage growth, a previous concern, appears to be slowing to levels in line with the Fed’s target, reducing the risk of inflation resulting from rising paychecks and prices. Housing’s Other Threat to the Economy Residential real estate has probably been boosting growth—but also hurting the economy as a whole The housing market, despite its role in boosting economic growth, is facing significant challenges that are detrimental to both homeowners and the overall economy. Existing home sales have decreased, largely due to the rapid rise in mortgage rates, making it harder for people to afford homes and discouraging existing homeowners from selling. The limited inventory of existing homes has further exacerbated the situation, resulting in the fewest homes available for sale in September on record. Notably, existing home sales are reported only once they close, making it likely that they were largely financed when mortgage rates were still lower, indicating a potential continued slump in the housing market. In terms of GDP, existing home sales have limited direct influence, as they contribute relatively little to the economy compared to the building and selling of new homes. Paradoxically, high mortgage rates have supported the sale of new homes due to the scarcity of existing ones, leading to a growth in residential investment and adding to GDP in the third quarter. While a simplistic assessment might suggest that housing is less sensitive to interest rate increases, the combination of high rates, limited inventory, and low affordability is damaging to the economy. Homeowners, reluctant to move due to high costs, may miss out on opportunities, impacting both their personal well-being and the economy’s growth potential. Additionally, first-time homebuyers are increasingly priced out of the market, with affordability at its worst levels in decades. Lower interest rates could alleviate some housing market issues by increasing affordability and unlocking inventory, but they won’t fully resolve the problem. Soaring home prices, far outpacing inflation, pose a significant challenge. Addressing these challenges will require a combination of rising incomes and a long-term process, making housing affordability a persistent issue for the economy. A Majority of U.S. Apartment Renters Feel Satisfied, Despite Stigma A recent national study conducted by The Center for Generational Kinetics for RealPage reveals that U.S. … Read more

What is Happening In Central Texas? National and State Highlights

What is Happening In Central Texas? National and State Highlights

Before we catch up on national and state highlights, I’m excited to share a unique opportunity with you – the chance to shape the future of our upcoming 250-unit apartment in Austin, Texas. Your input means the world to us, and we’re excited to present three distinct design options for this project. Please take a moment to review the attached elevations and let us know which design resonates with you the most. Your feedback will play a pivotal role in determining the final design, and we are eager to create a space that our community will be proud to call home. Simply fill out the form given below “A,” “B,” or “C” to indicate your preference. We can’t wait to hear your thoughts, and we’re grateful for your contribution to this exciting journey. I recently visited the largest investment in Texas, Samsung $17B factory in Taylor, TX. Last year we brought in an investment opportunity just across the street from this location just before the announcement. Lucky for the investors who got in into that deal. It filled up in two hours and we were 3x oversubscribed. This manufacturing plant is HUGE !! and changing the landscape of this small city north of Austin, TX. I am not sure whether I am just looking at one phase or multiple phases as I see there are three more parcels of development with Samsung name on it. A few friends from Samsung that recently relocated into Austin said they are requested to move to Taylor, TX as part of Samsung’s commitment to city of Taylor. They are hiring many other engineers as well. Samsung recently requested for an additional nine more factories in Taylor, TX. Manufacturing plants are the golden goose of job supply. They create opportunity for inflow of money into a sub market and create direct and indirect jobs. This is real estate 101 at its core. I was thinking that it’s going to be 5-7 years for Taylor, TX to be a big town but after the visit yesterday, I think it’s more like 3-5 years now. If you want to be part of deals like this, pls register to be in our email list by clicking on my bio or come to our website at Achieve Investment Group. Please keep in mind that more than 5000 readers open and read our newsletter every week. What’s Happening In The Multifamily Industry? A Recession Is Not a Foregone Conclusion Economists no longer widely anticipate a recession. In a recent survey of 65 economists conducted by The Wall Street Journal from October 6 to 11, they lowered the probability of a recession within the next year from 54% in July to a more positive 48%. This marks the first time the likelihood has dipped below 50% since last year. The primary reasons for this optimism are declining inflation, the Federal Reserve’s decision to halt interest rate hikes, and better-than-expected economic growth and job market performance. About 60% of the surveyed economists believe that the Fed has concluded its current interest rate increase cycle, with approximately 23% expecting the final rate hike in November and 11% in December. Roughly half of the economists predict that the Fed will begin lowering interest rates in the second quarter of the following year, as economic growth slows down and the unemployment rate, which stood at 3.8% in September, rises to 4.3% by June. A significant majority (82%) of economists believe that the Fed’s existing interest rate target range of 5.25% to 5.5% is restrictive enough to bring inflation back in line with the Fed’s 2% target over the next two to three years. Furthermore, economists expect that yields will decrease in the coming months, with the 10-year Treasury yield projected to close at 4.47% by the end of this year and drop to 4.16% by June 30 of the next year. 2024 U.S. Apartment Market Forecast Real Page’s 2024 forecast is optimistic, with expectations of robust demand, a remarkable year for supply, occupancy rates in line with historical averages, and an annual rent growth ranging from 1% to 2%. 4th Quarter 2023 Projections for 2024:DemandWhile job growth is predicted to continue slowing throughout 2024, the desired “soft landing” in the economy seems to have been mostly achieved. This perspective anticipates the economy will maintain enough momentum to support household formation.Moreover, a drop in inflation coupled with robust wage growth has led to “real” wage growth for the first time in years, reinforcing expectations of strong demand for apartments in 2024. SupplyIn 2024, there is a substantial supply of multifamily units on the horizon, with over 600,000 market-rate units expected to be completed, making it a banner year for deliveries. Even if supply delays become more common, 2024 is set to surpass the past four decades in terms of multifamily unit deliveries.The most significant change in the forecast is for 2025 and 2026 when supply expectations drop by 15% to 20% in most major U.S. markets due to a sharp adjustment in identified project starts.Rent / OccupancyExpectations for 2024 include occupancy rates consistent with historical norms, with the U.S. average hovering around the lower 94% range. Annual effective rent growth in many markets is projected to remain in the 1% to 2% range. What’s Happening In TEXAS? The Californization of the Texas Housing Market In 2021, California to Texas became the nation’s most frequently traversed interstate migration route, as per an analysis conducted by StorageCafe, a storage-space search platform, utilizing Census Bureau statistics. During that year, approximately 111,000 individuals, or roughly 300 people daily, relocated from California to Texas. At the outset of 2014, nearly two-thirds of homes in San Antonio were considered affordable for families with median incomes. However, by the conclusion of 2022, this figure dwindled to less than one-third. Daryl Fairweather, the chief economist at the residential real estate brokerage Redfin, noted, “Austin became exceedingly expensive during the pandemic, prompting spillover migration to San Antonio.” The most recent data available, encompassing 2019 and 2020, highlights that the principal source of net migration to … Read more